【英文标题】Does FDI Inflow Affect the Convergence of Redundant Rural Labor Transfer?

　　Empirical Evidence from 282 Prefecture-level Cities in China

　　【作者简介】赵德昭(1986-　)，男，河南鲁山人，湖南大学经济与贸易学院博士研究生，研究方向是外商直接投资与劳动力市场、跨国公司投资与贸易；许和连(1971-　)，男，湖南双峰人，湖南大学经济与贸易学院教授，博士生导师，研究方向是国际贸易与经济增长、跨国公司投资与贸易（湖南　长沙　410079）。

　　【内容提要】        大规模FDI流入条件下农村剩余劳动力转移收敛性的分析框架，为研究区域劳动力市场发展与城市化进程提供了新的视角。对中国282个地市数据的实证检验表明，FDI已成为经济转型期影响农村剩余劳动力转移收敛性的主要因素，且其对农村剩余劳动力转移的影响存在明显的“倒U型”曲线特征。全国范围内、中西部地区农村剩余劳动力转移呈现明显的条件β-收敛特征，但东部地区呈发散趋势。而且，在考察期内农村剩余劳动力转移的演变轨迹呈现出先收敛后发散的“U型”趋势。为此，政府应坚持“两个大局”的战略设计，运用差异性的引资优惠政策引导FDI在区域间的合理分布，同时避免对劳动力价格的过度干预，在市场机制作用下实现劳动力市场一体化。

　　This paper provides a framework for analysis of transference of redundant rural labor force under condition of large-scale FDI inflows, offering a new perspective of studying on the regional labor market development and urbanization process. An empirical study based on the panel data of China's 282 cities shows that, FDI has become the main factors affecting the transference of redundant rural labor force during the period of economic transition, and the relationship between FDI and transference of redundant rural labor force show significant “inverted U-shape”. Conditional-convergence in the central, west and throughout the country is significant, but the east is significant divergence. Furthermore, it causes a dynamic process of redundant rural labor force moving from divergence to convergence which shows significant “U-shape”. In this regard, the government should adhere to “two overall situations”strategy, using discrepant preferential policies of attracting FDI to guide the reasonable distribution of FDI in different regions. Mean-while, the government also should avoid excessive interference on labor costs, in order to establish a coordinate unified labor market by market mechanism.

　　【关 键 词】外商直接投资/农村剩余劳动力转移/条件β-收敛/经济转型foreign direct investment/transference of redundant rural labor force/conditional β convergence/economic transition

　　[中图分类号]F323.6　　[文献标识码]A　　[文章编号]1007-9556(2013)06-0021-11